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The LLM worship has to stop.
It’s like saying a hammer can build a house. No, it can’t.
It’s useful to pound in nails and automate a lot of repetitive and boring tasks but it’s not going to build the house for you - architect it, plan it, validate it.
It’s similar to the whole 3D printing hype. You can 3D print a house! No you can’t.
You can 3D print a wall, maybe a window.
Then have a skilled Craftsman put it all together for you, ensure fit and finish and essentially build the final product.
You’re making a great analogy with the 3D printing of a house.
However, if we consider the 3D printed house scenario; that skilled craftsman is now able to do things on his own that he would have needed a team for in the past. Most, if not all, of the less skilled members of that team are not getting any experience within the craft at that point. They’re no longer necessary when one skilled person can now do things on their own.
What happens when the skilled and highly experienced craftsmen that use AI as a supplemental tool (and subsequently earn all the work) eventually retire, and there’s been no juniors or mid-levels for a while? No one is really going to be qualified without having had exposure to the trade for several years.
Absolutely. This is a huge problem and I’ve read about this very problem from a number of sources. This will have a huge impact on engineering and information work.
Interestingly enough, A similar shortage occurred in the trades when information work was up and coming and the trades were shunned as a career path for many. Now we don’t have enough plumbers and electricians. Trades are now finding their the skills in high demand and charging very high rates.
The trades problem is a typical small business problem with toxic work environments. I knew plenty that washed out of the trades because of that. The “nobody wants to work anymore” tradesmen but really it’s “nobody wants to work with me for what I’m willing to pay”
To those who have played around with LLM code generation more than me, how are they at debugging?
I’m thinking of Kernighan’s Law: “Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the code as cleverly as possible, you are, by definition, not smart enough to debug it.” If vibe coding reduces the complexity of writing code by 10x, but debugging remains just as difficult as before, then Kernighan’s Law needs to be updated to say debugging is 20x as hard as vibe coding. Vibe coders have no hope of bridging that gap.
Working just fine. It one shot a kodi tv channel addon for me last week end. Used it to integrate kofax into docusign. Building 2 blazor apps one new one an upgrade. Used it to create a stack of mc servers for the kids with a dashboard of statuses and control switches. My son is working on his own mc mod with it. Use it almost daily for random file organization and management scripts. Using it to clean uo my media library meta data. Anytime i have to do something to more than 5 or so files i pull it up and ask for a script.
Its a tool like any other. There will be people who adapt and people who fail to. Just like we had with computers the internet. It zeems to be long forgotten now but literally ALL of these anti ai arguments were made against computers and the internet 30_50 years ago. Very similar ones were made when books and writing became common place as well.
Apparently I’m not up to date. I’ve been impressed by some things and turned off by others. But I haven’t seen any workflows or setups that enabled access to my file system. How is that accomplished, and are there any safeguards around it?
I didnt give it access just had it make sceipts in various languages to handle large repetative file tasks. Something that wpuld take me 30-45 minutes toclpoks up and piece together it can do is 30-45 seconds. And depending on how simple or able you are to describe the task at hand the better it can do. Even when i know what i want to type, like during the blazor conversion it simply types faster for a much simpler prompt. Once i had a single page sorted i asked it for a step by step of what we did. Then took that and said ‘hey do this to the follpwing page abc.html’ and done. Then just tell it ‘now this page …’ etc etc. That was in copilot though so it could see my solutions files.
“Some random people were wrong about something in the past so nobody is allowed to speculate that any technology isn’t as revolutionary as it’s hyped to be ever again” is not a useful or compelling argument.